Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000910 0.001034 0.001165 0.001313 0.001475 0.001647 0.001843
2025-03-02 0.000721 0.000895 0.001091 0.001326 0.001600 0.001906 0.002272
2025-03-09 0.000592 0.000783 0.001008 0.001290 0.001630 0.002024 0.002510
2025-03-16 0.000494 0.000693 0.000938 0.001255 0.001650 0.002122 0.002720
2025-03-23 0.000432 0.000638 0.000901 0.001252 0.001703 0.002253 0.002966
2025-03-30 0.000382 0.000592 0.000869 0.001251 0.001753 0.002378 0.003205
2025-04-06 0.000337 0.000547 0.000833 0.001238 0.001784 0.002478 0.003411
2025-04-13 0.000294 0.000501 0.000792 0.001215 0.001798 0.002553 0.003585
2025-04-20 0.000272 0.000483 0.000788 0.001241 0.001876 0.002711 0.003868
2025-04-27 0.000251 0.000463 0.000778 0.001257 0.001940 0.002852 0.004131
2025-05-04 0.000224 0.000432 0.000750 0.001243 0.001961 0.002934 0.004316
2025-05-11 0.000198 0.000400 0.000717 0.001221 0.001968 0.002996 0.004474
2025-05-18 0.000183 0.000383 0.000708 0.001235 0.002027 0.003132 0.004737
2025-05-25 0.000167 0.000366 0.000696 0.001243 0.002078 0.003258 0.004990
2025-06-01 0.000146 0.000335 0.000660 0.001210 0.002066 0.003293 0.005117
2025-06-08 0.000126 0.000306 0.000624 0.001176 0.002051 0.003322 0.005234
2025-06-15 0.000115 0.000290 0.000609 0.001173 0.002082 0.003419 0.005447
2025-06-22 0.000104 0.000275 0.000595 0.001172 0.002115 0.003517 0.005664
2025-06-29 0.000093 0.000258 0.000576 0.001160 0.002130 0.003589 0.005844
2025-07-06 0.000082 0.000240 0.000551 0.001138 0.002127 0.003633 0.005984
2025-07-13 0.000078 0.000235 0.000554 0.001162 0.002200 0.003792 0.006293
2025-07-20 0.000073 0.000229 0.000551 0.001178 0.002258 0.003929 0.006574
2025-07-27 0.000065 0.000215 0.000534 0.001165 0.002269 0.003994 0.006748